Testing Your Baccarat and Craps System

Testing Your Baccarat and Craps System

A Baccarat or Craps System must be composed of two parts A method for determining bets and a system for managing money.

Bet selection is the method of deciding on the winner (player or banker) in Baccarat, (pass or don’t pass) (pass or fail) when playing craps. There are a variety of methods that are favored by experienced players. Many prefer following the rules of baccarat, or rolling of the dice in craps. In this case, the gambler bets identical to the previous decision. Another popular method for choosing the side to bet on is the one that comes before the the last. Pattern recognition draws many players when they look for intriguing patterns. Streak play has been a source of contention for many methods in the Baccarat game เว็บบาคาร่า.

Baccarat is believed to provide the most promise to those who are mathematically inclined. Because it is played with the same shoe, it is not changed until a Baccarat game is over. Mathematicians say there is a dependency within the game of baccarat. Dependency means that as the first part of the baccarat shoe is played, it will determine how the players will play the next part of the shoe. Thus, we will be able to gain an advantage over the house in the second portion of the shoe as we know what cards were used in the first part of the shoe (of course , we’d need to keep track of it in order to be aware of this). Card counting , which was pioneered and utilized effectively in blackjack tested in Baccarat. The results were somewhat positive however, the benefit to the player was small. My suggestion for baccarat counting: don’t waste your time doing it, it’s not going to work.

Other ways of removing”dependency “dependency” from the baccarat game have been analyzed.

Dr. S.H. Johnson carried out extensive computer studies with large amounts of live baccarat information. Johnson studied thousands of repeating patterns according to the dominance of the player (banker or player) at the time that the pattern was observed. He was able extract an advantage that was only a little smaller than the one created by counting cards in blackjack. The researcher Dr. Johnson reports the practical drawback of this strategy is the rare occurrence of betting opportunities. The casino’s patience was tested when he laid the second third of a pair of shoes prior to making his bet on the advantage. The game required huge bets and a substantial budget to make a small revenue. The renowned doctor concluded that this strategy more as a spiritual triumph as opposed to a viable solution for profit from the game of Baccarat.

Certain players adopt a distinct strategy based on the consistency of the numbers when playing a game such as the Baccarat game or the craps game. The concept of continuity of numbers that underlies this strategy is evident every time we examine the data of the mainframe computer. It’s not that the idea will provide an infallible system for gambling. This is the basic concept. Let’s suppose we were at the casinos along with a group of researchers. We recorded every single roll at the table of craps every day of the week, 7 every week for six months. This is a lot of dice rolls. For discussion purposes Let’s say six months worth of recording continuously is 650,000 decisions or rolls. Imagine that an person who is a researcher lives to 101 years old, and for the first 80 years of his life , he played at the casino each day. Every day, he recorded 10-minutes of rolls in the table of craps (not only at the table daily!). Let’s assume for our brief debate, that the 80 years of 10 minutes per day yielded the same number of choices, exactly 650,000 that the team of 24/7 researchers made over the course of six months.

Let’s collect two sets of data, and input them the data into our computers. The computer will review the data in relation to an mathematical representation of game. We will analyse patterns, patterns’ distribution, frequency of numbers, as well as the percentages. We’ll determine the advantage of the casino against the gambler (i.e. – pass line 1.42%, don’t pass 1.40%, etc.). The computer runs for several minutes before spitting out two reports: Report 1is which is the “24/7 for 6 months data” and Report 2 which is the “10 minute per day for 80 years data”. Which do you believe the differences is going to be? NOTHING!! This is right, the statistics as well as the numbers are exactly the same.

So, what could we learn from this? As players, we play one major craps game and one major baccarat game (if these are your games) throughout our lives. There is a continuous flow of numbers, which during the course of your playing will strive to match the game’s morphology or to the mathematical distribution. At any time, various elements (patterns as well as numbers) will be in different mathematical distribution during the game. As an example, let us say that in our lifetime game we’ve played 1,000,000 baccarat hands. We know this because we kept track of every single one of those suckers ‘ scorecards, and entered the scorecards into our computer at the end of each session. This is what the pros call “cataloging their game”]

Each night, after entering his information after which the player starts his favorite computer program for analysis. A report is generated from the data; for instance that pattern patterns from seven banking transactions in a row are six standard deviations off of the patterns of “his game”. A professional player is known for his strategy of taking advantage of the variances within his play. He knows that the deviation IS going to be returned to equipartition at some point. It always happens eventually! Don’t rush to the casino right now. The most important issue is how long is the pattern for before it can be brought back to regular distribution models of games?

We are not going to provide you with the solution. There’s something to consider isn’t it? It’s fascinating that the player doesn’t consider the game as one shoe of Baccarat or the time spent in craps playing but rather the totality of all the games that he’s made. It’s his game, the only one you can play. You could argue that this is a complete reversal of the notion we frequently get… “my system may not win over the long haul but I am only going to play a couple hours a day so that doesn’t matter”. In these casino games, you can’t get away from the constant stream of the numbers that are a result of an growing playing experience. Million dollar casinos are constructed each year on the incomparable form of these negative expectation games (reserving the argument of dependency for baccarat as well as any other strategy you might create!)

It is suggested that you start your baccarat or craps strategy creation and testing by placing an eye on your betting strategy. This means that when you test your strategy, you should use the flat bet option or non-neutral money management. Flat bets mean that you bet the same amount for each hand of Baccarat or any roll. It’s impossible to win the game of negative expectations by utilizing money management. In the long run, your betting strategy must result in greater winning rolls or hands than losing. If the player is able to achieve this, we call it the player has a high probability or a advantage for the player against the casinos. If the player has an advantage, almost any kind of money management system will perform. Let’s look at this over again If there’s no advantage for the player in the selection of bets, no money management method regardless of how smart it may be, will transform an expectation that is negative into a positive one.

Do we have the ability to play even when we don’t have an advantage? YES! It’s known as gambling. If you have an advantage over other players, it doesn’t constitute gambling, is it? A majority of players who play recreationally do not have any advantage for the player. The way you play and the way the money is managed is crucial if you want to enjoy some great winning games and not waste your cash each time you visit the casino. In reality, you could become a lifetime winner with any player benefit in the event that you were at the table in the casino and got in a flurry of luck (it happens) and pushed (progressed) betting up to the limit. When you’re at $35K you stop and will never bet ever again! You’ve just kicked the casino’s bum! This will not occur to us all the time. We’ll return! We need to design an approach that is better or more favorable and also have a money-management strategy that limit our risk to a tiny portion of our bank account.

The majority of professional gamblers employ an 80% money management method. These systems are built on strict discipline and continuous surveillance of one’s bankroll. A predetermined percent of the ever-changing bankroll is deposited. Learn the game you play, master the strategy you use and learn discipline, and then master discipline, and then master discipline ..yeah it’s crucial. If you don’t master the art of manage your emotions, you’ll end up crashing at the table. If you’re unable to manage your emotions and impulses do not waste your time gambling. You’re about to embark on a huge task. As with everything worthwhile you have to make your payments. This is the only way you be one of the very few winners! Enjoy!







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